Author: ["Changhui Peng","Zhihai Ma","Xiangdong Lei","Qiuan Zhu","Huai Chen","Weifeng Wang","Shirong Liu","Weizhong Li","Xiuqin Fang","Xiaolu Zhou"]
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Abstract
Drought-induced forest dieback has emerged as a global concern and is expected to increase worldwide under projected future climate change. A study using long-term forest plots now provides a quantitative estimate of drought-induced increase in tree mortality across Canada's boreal forests—one of the most important terrestrial carbon sinks. Drought-induced tree mortality is expected to increase worldwide under projected future climate changes1,2,3,4. The Canadian boreal forests, which occupy about 30% of the boreal forests worldwide and 77% of Canada's total forested land, play a critical role in the albedo of Earth’s surface5 and in its global carbon budget6. Many of the previously reported regional-scale impacts of drought on tree mortality have affected low- and middle-latitude tropical regions2 and the temperate forests of the western United States3, but no study has examined high-latitude boreal regions with multiple species at a regional scale using long-term forest permanent sampling plots7,8,9. Here, we estimated tree mortality in natural stands throughout Canada's boreal forests using data from the permanent sampling plots and statistical models. We found that tree mortality rates increased by an overall average of 4.7% yr−1 from 1963 to 2008, with higher mortality rate increases in western regions than in eastern regions (about 4.9 and 1.9% yr−1, respectively). The water stress created by regional drought may be the dominant contributor to these widespread increases in tree mortality rates across tree species, sizes, elevations, longitudes and latitudes. Western Canada seems to have been more sensitive to drought than eastern Canada.Cite this article
Peng, C., Ma, Z., Lei, X. et al. A drought-induced pervasive increase in tree mortality across Canada's boreal forests. Nature Clim Change 1, 467–471 (2011). https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate1293 